Roma Apucarana vs Chapecoense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.9%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
54.8%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma Apucarana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
COT
7 - 2
ROM
81%
13%
6%
|
44 | 74 | 30 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2007 |
ROM
2 - 1
NPR
65%
19%
16%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
ENG
2 - 2
ROM
41%
24%
35%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2007 |
PAR
3 - 1
ROM
84%
12%
4%
|
44 | 81 | 37 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
ROM
1 - 4
MAR
14%
21%
65%
|
45 | 76 | 31 | -1 |
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2007 |
CRI
2 - 2
CHA
50%
22%
28%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
CHA
1 - 0
CRI
45%
24%
31%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
HER
2 - 3
CHA
36%
24%
40%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
CHA
1 - 0
MET
65%
20%
15%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2007 |
ECP
2 - 5
CHA
23%
23%
54%
|
63 | 44 | 19 | 0 |