Roda JC vs Heracles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
19.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roda JC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
SCH
2 - 0
RJC
71%
17%
12%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2009 |
RJC
2 - 0
LIE
80%
13%
7%
|
73 | 49 | 24 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
RJC
1 - 1
PSV
27%
27%
46%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 2008 |
UTR
3 - 1
RJC
50%
25%
25%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
RJC
2 - 5
GRO
42%
26%
32%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
HER
1 - 2
TWE
21%
26%
53%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
ADO
2 - 2
HER
40%
26%
34%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2008 |
HER
0 - 0
GRA
49%
25%
26%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
VOL
3 - 1
HER
56%
23%
21%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
HER
2 - 1
SPA
39%
25%
36%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |