Roda JC vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
38.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roda JC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1995 |
AJA
6 - 1
RJC
74%
16%
10%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1995 |
RJC
1 - 1
WIL
64%
22%
14%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1995 |
GRA
0 - 2
RJC
22%
26%
52%
|
83 | 59 | 24 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1995 |
SLB
1 - 0
RJC
64%
21%
15%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1995 |
GRO
0 - 1
RJC
33%
27%
40%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 1995 |
SLB
4 - 1
LEC
89%
8%
3%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1995 |
CHA
1 - 2
SLB
21%
24%
55%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1995 |
SLB
1 - 0
RJC
64%
21%
15%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 1995 |
SLB
3 - 0
GFC
77%
16%
7%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 1995 |
SCP
2 - 0
SLB
49%
25%
27%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |