Rocha FC vs Sud América analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.9%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
26%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rocha FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
ROC
2 - 1
DEP
40%
27%
33%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
JUN
0 - 2
ROC
66%
20%
15%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | +2 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
ROC
2 - 2
CSC
30%
26%
44%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
PLA
1 - 1
ROC
55%
23%
22%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
ROC
4 - 3
PLA
48%
25%
27%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Sud América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
SUD
1 - 3
CSM
42%
27%
31%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
VIL
4 - 2
SUD
39%
29%
33%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
HFC
0 - 0
SUD
54%
25%
21%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
SUD
1 - 0
REN
49%
26%
25%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
ATE
1 - 2
SUD
65%
21%
15%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | +2 |