Rocha FC vs Progreso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.2%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
29.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rocha FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
DEP
3 - 0
ROC
49%
26%
26%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
PLA
1 - 0
ROC
45%
25%
30%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
ROC
1 - 1
HFC
46%
26%
28%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
CSC
2 - 2
ROC
40%
26%
34%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2014 |
ROC
1 - 0
CAN
39%
27%
34%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
DEP
1 - 0
PRO
49%
25%
25%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
PRO
1 - 1
PLA
49%
26%
25%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
HFC
1 - 2
PRO
51%
24%
25%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2014 |
PRO
2 - 1
CSC
48%
26%
26%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2014 |
CAN
2 - 0
PRO
51%
25%
24%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | -1 |