Rocha FC vs Progreso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.2%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
22.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rocha FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
VIL
0 - 1
ROC
44%
26%
30%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2013 |
ROC
2 - 2
TOR
36%
26%
38%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2013 |
ROC
2 - 0
PLA
55%
24%
22%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
CEN
0 - 3
ROC
60%
22%
18%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
ROC
3 - 1
CSC
39%
27%
35%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
PLA
3 - 1
PRO
44%
25%
31%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2013 |
PRO
0 - 1
DEP
48%
26%
26%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
BOS
1 - 0
PRO
57%
23%
20%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
PRO
2 - 3
CAN
52%
25%
23%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
PRO
0 - 0
TOR
32%
27%
41%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |