River Plate David vs Millenium analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.7%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
54.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate David
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
CHI
5 - 0
RIV
52%
24%
24%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
RIV
0 - 1
COS
26%
24%
50%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
RIO
2 - 1
RIV
72%
18%
10%
|
39 | 61 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
VER
0 - 0
RIV
69%
19%
12%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | +2 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
RIV
1 - 1
GEM
26%
25%
49%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Millenium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
MIL
2 - 1
CEN
59%
22%
19%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
NAC
1 - 1
MIL
54%
24%
23%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
COL
1 - 5
MIL
49%
25%
27%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2015 |
MIL
4 - 1
CHI
59%
22%
19%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | +2 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
COS
2 - 1
MIL
53%
24%
23%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |