River Plate David vs Centenario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
41.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate David
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
NAC
5 - 1
RIV
73%
17%
10%
|
39 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
RIV
0 - 0
MIL
22%
24%
54%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
CHI
5 - 0
RIV
52%
24%
24%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
RIV
0 - 1
COS
26%
24%
50%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
RIO
2 - 1
RIV
72%
18%
10%
|
39 | 61 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Centenario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2015 |
COL
2 - 0
CEN
51%
24%
25%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
CEN
2 - 1
NAC
33%
27%
39%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | +2 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
MIL
2 - 1
CEN
59%
22%
19%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -2 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
CEN
3 - 1
CHI
51%
24%
25%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
COS
3 - 1
CEN
57%
23%
20%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |