River Plate David vs Herrera FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.4%
20%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
64.7%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate David
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2016 |
RIV
2 - 2
NYC
29%
24%
47%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2015 |
OES
5 - 0
RIV
72%
17%
11%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2015 |
COL
2 - 0
RIV
69%
18%
13%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
RIV
0 - 1
CEN
33%
26%
42%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
NAC
5 - 1
RIV
73%
17%
10%
|
39 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Herrera FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
AZU
2 - 1
TIE
74%
17%
10%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2016 |
SPP
0 - 4
AZU
7%
15%
78%
|
53 | 9 | 44 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
CHI
1 - 0
AZU
46%
26%
28%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
AZU
4 - 2
NYC
70%
18%
12%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
AZU
1 - 1
SUN
71%
18%
11%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |