Derby City Rovers vs TFC Academy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.7%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
4%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.2%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
44.2%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby City Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
RIV
2 - 3
CIN
24%
21%
55%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2015 |
RIV
2 - 1
DAY
28%
22%
50%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | +2 |
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
RIV
2 - 3
RIV
62%
19%
19%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Jul. 2015 |
RIV
3 - 3
MIC
13%
19%
67%
|
27 | 62 | 35 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 2015 |
RIV
2 - 1
RIV
38%
22%
40%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
TFC Academy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2016 |
CIN
2 - 0
TFC
59%
19%
22%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2016 |
TFC
0 - 7
KWU
16%
21%
63%
|
38 | 54 | 16 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2015 |
TFC
2 - 3
KWU
19%
23%
59%
|
36 | 53 | 17 | +2 |
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
FOR
6 - 2
TFC
72%
17%
11%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2015 |
RIV
0 - 1
TFC
25%
22%
54%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |