Rivadavia Lincoln vs Academia Mascherano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.2%
Win probability
2.88
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.3%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.6%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.2%
6.6%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rivadavia Lincoln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
COL
1 - 0
RIV
32%
23%
45%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
RIV
1 - 0
LIN
68%
19%
13%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
RIV
1 - 1
CDA
36%
23%
41%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2022 |
RIV
0 - 0
SPB
49%
22%
29%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
SPB
2 - 2
RIV
56%
21%
23%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Academia Mascherano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2022 |
LIN
0 - 2
AJM
71%
17%
12%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2022 |
AJM
0 - 2
COL
24%
21%
55%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
RIV
3 - 1
AJM
81%
12%
7%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
AJM
1 - 3
LIN
42%
23%
35%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
AJM
0 - 2
RIV
24%
22%
54%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | 0 |