Risca United vs Taffs Well analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.1%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.9%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.8%
48.1%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5%
1-3
6%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Risca United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2021 |
RIS
2 - 5
BRI
11%
15%
74%
|
25 | 45 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
TRE
4 - 0
RIS
83%
11%
6%
|
26 | 45 | 19 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
LLA
4 - 0
RIS
64%
19%
18%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2021 |
PON
2 - 1
RIS
81%
12%
7%
|
26 | 43 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
TRE
2 - 0
RIS
70%
17%
14%
|
27 | 45 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Taffs Well
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2021 |
TAF
1 - 4
LLA
26%
22%
53%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2021 |
TAF
2 - 1
LID
33%
22%
45%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
ABE
1 - 3
TAF
49%
21%
30%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2021 |
CAR
0 - 0
TAF
83%
12%
6%
|
27 | 49 | 22 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2021 |
AAF
2 - 4
TAF
71%
16%
14%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | +1 |