Risca United vs Port Talbot Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.5%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
64.4%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
11%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.9%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+148%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Risca United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
GOY
2 - 2
RIS
70%
18%
12%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
GOY
0 - 1
RIS
48%
22%
31%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
RIS
4 - 0
GAR
76%
14%
10%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
TON
1 - 2
RIS
41%
23%
36%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2016 |
RIS
5 - 0
ABE
60%
20%
20%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Port Talbot Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
POR
2 - 1
CAL
82%
13%
5%
|
53 | 32 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
CWM
2 - 0
POR
9%
18%
73%
|
54 | 30 | 24 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2016 |
LLA
3 - 1
POR
21%
20%
59%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
POR
2 - 0
HAV
57%
22%
21%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
POR
1 - 1
BAN
31%
25%
44%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |