Risca United vs Cwmbran Celtic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
37%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Risca United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
LID
2 - 1
RIS
76%
14%
10%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
RIS
0 - 2
HAV
15%
19%
66%
|
32 | 47 | 15 | -2 |
| 21 Oct. 2016 |
RIS
1 - 3
PEN
49%
21%
30%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | -2 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
UND
2 - 0
RIS
42%
22%
36%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
TRS
4 - 1
RIS
10%
16%
74%
|
38 | 10 | 28 | -3 |
Matches
Cwmbran Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
CWM
3 - 4
CAL
57%
21%
21%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
CWM
1 - 1
GOY
35%
23%
42%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2016 |
LID
5 - 0
CWM
64%
20%
17%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
GOY
2 - 1
CWM
76%
15%
9%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
CWM
0 - 3
HAV
19%
22%
59%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | -2 |