Rio Branco SP vs Monte Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.7%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
33.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Branco SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
RIO
4 - 1
LIN
57%
23%
21%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
SAO
3 - 1
RIO
41%
25%
34%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2009 |
RIO
0 - 0
UNI
60%
22%
18%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
AME
1 - 2
RIO
42%
25%
34%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
RIO
3 - 0
RIO
49%
24%
27%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Monte Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
RIO
2 - 2
MON
33%
25%
42%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
MON
4 - 2
JUV
66%
20%
14%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2009 |
MON
3 - 1
UNI
49%
23%
28%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
UNI
3 - 2
MON
30%
25%
45%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
FLA
1 - 1
MON
28%
24%
47%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |