Rimini vs Virtus Lanciano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.3%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
14.8%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rimini
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2005 |
SOR
0 - 1
RIM
19%
27%
54%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2005 |
RIM
3 - 1
SSS
61%
22%
17%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2005 |
SPA
0 - 0
RIM
34%
28%
38%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2005 |
RIM
2 - 0
PAD
63%
22%
16%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2005 |
CHI
0 - 1
RIM
25%
28%
46%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Virtus Lanciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2005 |
VIR
1 - 0
SPA
47%
28%
25%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2005 |
NAP
4 - 1
VIR
54%
26%
20%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2005 |
VIR
2 - 1
PAD
44%
28%
28%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2005 |
BEN
1 - 1
VIR
38%
30%
32%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2005 |
VIR
0 - 1
AVE
41%
27%
31%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |