Rimini vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
38%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rimini
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2015 |
PIS
2 - 0
RIM
65%
22%
14%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
RIM
1 - 1
PIS
32%
26%
42%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
PON
6 - 0
RIM
50%
24%
26%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
SIE
2 - 0
RIM
75%
17%
7%
|
48 | 71 | 23 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
RIM
1 - 0
MAC
40%
27%
34%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
SAN
2 - 1
ASL
42%
27%
31%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
ASL
1 - 2
ANC
29%
27%
43%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
PIS
1 - 0
ASL
41%
26%
33%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
ASL
1 - 2
ACP
44%
28%
28%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
ASL
0 - 0
SIE
13%
23%
64%
|
51 | 71 | 20 | 0 |