Rimini vs Spezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.8%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.4%
14.8%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rimini
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2006 |
BAR
2 - 2
RIM
43%
29%
29%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2006 |
RIM
2 - 0
PIA
49%
27%
24%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2006 |
PES
0 - 5
RIM
31%
28%
41%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2006 |
RIM
1 - 1
VIC
65%
21%
13%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2006 |
CES
1 - 1
RIM
53%
25%
22%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2006 |
SPE
0 - 2
LEC
22%
26%
52%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2006 |
BRE
1 - 1
SPE
66%
22%
12%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2006 |
SPE
2 - 1
CRO
29%
29%
42%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2006 |
TRI
2 - 1
SPE
55%
26%
19%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2006 |
SPE
0 - 1
MOD
26%
28%
46%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |