Rimini vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
26.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rimini
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
VER
1 - 0
RIM
36%
28%
36%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2007 |
RIM
2 - 0
TRE
52%
26%
22%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
ABN
0 - 0
RIM
42%
28%
30%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2007 |
BRE
0 - 2
RIM
52%
26%
22%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2007 |
RIM
1 - 0
LEC
41%
27%
32%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
CES
1 - 0
MOD
48%
26%
26%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2007 |
FRO
4 - 1
CES
31%
26%
43%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
CES
1 - 1
MAN
47%
27%
26%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2007 |
CES
2 - 1
GEN
43%
27%
30%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2007 |
BAR
0 - 2
CES
39%
27%
35%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |