Ribeirão vs Fafe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
37.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ribeirão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
RIB
1 - 2
RIB
43%
25%
32%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
MIR
1 - 1
RIB
54%
23%
23%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
RIB
3 - 2
MAR
41%
25%
34%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
RIB
1 - 2
MER
63%
21%
16%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
VAR
2 - 0
RIB
67%
21%
13%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Fafe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
FAF
4 - 2
MAR
57%
23%
20%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
MER
4 - 5
FAF
24%
25%
51%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
FAF
0 - 1
VAR
34%
29%
38%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
FAF
1 - 0
LOU
71%
18%
11%
|
54 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
CAM
2 - 2
FAF
29%
26%
46%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |