Revilla vs UM Escobedo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.4%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
64.7%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
11%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.9%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+111%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Revilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
REV
0 - 4
VEL
57%
22%
21%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
RAC
1 - 1
REV
72%
17%
11%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
REV
2 - 1
CUL
56%
22%
22%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
SDT
3 - 2
REV
50%
23%
27%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
REV
0 - 1
CAY
29%
25%
46%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
UM Escobedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
ESC
1 - 0
RAC
58%
21%
21%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
CUL
5 - 0
ESC
12%
18%
70%
|
38 | 20 | 18 | -3 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
ESC
5 - 0
SDT
79%
14%
7%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
CAY
1 - 2
ESC
28%
25%
47%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
ESC
2 - 1
TEX
78%
14%
8%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |