Revilla vs Cayón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.9%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.5%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.9%
60.1%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
15.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.5%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.7%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Revilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
CUL
4 - 0
REV
42%
25%
33%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
REV
1 - 0
SIE
43%
25%
32%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
LAR
1 - 0
REV
79%
15%
7%
|
23 | 41 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
REV
4 - 0
GAM
50%
25%
26%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
NAV
2 - 1
REV
22%
21%
57%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Cayón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
CAY
2 - 0
SAM
77%
16%
7%
|
38 | 20 | 18 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
TRO
0 - 3
CAY
49%
25%
27%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
CAY
1 - 2
RAY
54%
24%
22%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
CAY
2 - 1
CUL
69%
20%
11%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
SIE
0 - 2
CAY
19%
25%
56%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | 0 |