Retro FC vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.6%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
70%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.9%
0-4
5%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.4%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Retro FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
CEN
1 - 4
RFC
24%
23%
52%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
COR
1 - 1
RFC
88%
10%
3%
|
48 | 83 | 35 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2021 |
RFC
1 - 0
BRU
18%
20%
62%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
AFO
1 - 1
RFC
28%
22%
50%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
RFC
3 - 2
SSS
70%
18%
12%
|
47 | 31 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2021 |
SAL
2 - 3
NAU
19%
24%
57%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
NAU
4 - 1
ACA
88%
10%
2%
|
64 | 30 | 34 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
NAU
3 - 1
VCR
86%
11%
3%
|
64 | 38 | 26 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
SSS
0 - 1
NAU
9%
19%
72%
|
64 | 31 | 33 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
NAU
5 - 0
CEN
82%
13%
5%
|
64 | 44 | 20 | 0 |