Resende vs Bonsucesso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.2%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
22.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Resende
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
MAC
3 - 0
RES
51%
23%
26%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
RES
3 - 2
OLA
45%
24%
31%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
BOT
3 - 1
RES
86%
10%
4%
|
55 | 82 | 27 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
RES
1 - 1
MAD
47%
24%
29%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
DUQ
2 - 1
RES
68%
18%
14%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Bonsucesso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2012 |
BON
0 - 0
NOV
49%
25%
26%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
BON
3 - 1
MAD
28%
24%
48%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | +2 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
FLA
4 - 0
BON
83%
13%
4%
|
50 | 82 | 32 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2011 |
QUI
1 - 1
BON
44%
25%
32%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
BON
2 - 1
IFC
68%
19%
13%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | +1 |