Renova vs KF Shkëndija analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
46.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
0
5º
9º
9º
54
1º
4º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 63 |
2º
|
94.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
54 | 58 |
3º
|
94% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 51 |
4º
|
98.5% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 42 |
5º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 42 |
6º
|
27.5% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 41 |
7º
|
36.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 41 |
8º
|
38.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
0 | 32 |
9º
|
33% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 31 |
10º
|
51.5% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 25 |
11º
|
83.5% | |
|
11º
|
13 | 14 |
12º
|
97% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
2.5% | 99.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
49% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
32% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
16.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Renova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2022 |
FKB
1 - 5
REN
18%
25%
57%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
REN
2 - 0
FKS
58%
25%
18%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2022 |
TIK
0 - 1
REN
38%
26%
36%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
REN
1 - 1
FCS
33%
29%
38%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
SHK
2 - 0
REN
54%
25%
21%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
KF Shkëndija
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
SHK
1 - 1
MAK
44%
27%
30%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
TIK
1 - 3
SHK
23%
24%
53%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
SHK
0 - 2
FCS
44%
28%
28%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
AKP
0 - 1
SHK
38%
26%
37%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2022 |
SHK
2 - 0
FKS
64%
23%
13%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |