Rende vs FC Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
39.3%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rende
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
REN
0 - 2
AKR
19%
23%
58%
|
29 | 47 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
DTO
0 - 0
REN
58%
21%
21%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
REN
0 - 1
NGI
29%
23%
48%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
LIC
1 - 0
REN
53%
22%
25%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
REN
1 - 2
BAT
38%
24%
39%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
FC Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
CIT
0 - 1
POM
48%
24%
28%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
CIT
2 - 2
TOR
43%
23%
33%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
AKR
1 - 0
CIT
68%
19%
13%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
CIT
1 - 1
DTO
56%
21%
23%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
CIT
1 - 4
NGI
49%
23%
29%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -1 |