Redondense vs Aljustrelense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.9%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.6%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
58.7%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
10%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Redondense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
SES
2 - 1
RED
75%
16%
9%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
RED
2 - 1
DES
64%
20%
16%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Aljustrelense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
ALJ
1 - 1
LAG
58%
22%
21%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
FAB
2 - 0
ALJ
84%
13%
4%
|
25 | 71 | 46 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
PAÇ
3 - 1
ALJ
86%
11%
4%
|
26 | 73 | 47 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2006 |
ALJ
0 - 1
OLI
13%
19%
69%
|
27 | 53 | 26 | -1 |