Recanatese vs Elpidiense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.2%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
13.9%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Recanatese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
GRC
1 - 2
REC
22%
26%
52%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
REC
2 - 0
ATL
40%
26%
34%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +2 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
LUC
0 - 0
REC
33%
26%
41%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
REC
1 - 0
CHI
33%
27%
40%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | +2 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
MDC
0 - 0
REC
40%
25%
35%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Elpidiense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
EPD
1 - 3
MDC
37%
26%
37%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
CSL
3 - 1
EPD
67%
20%
14%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
EPD
0 - 1
PRO
29%
27%
44%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
SRM
0 - 0
EPD
35%
26%
39%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
EPD
2 - 1
SDC
48%
25%
28%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | +1 |