Real Zaragoza vs Real Valladolid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.5%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
27.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
ZAR
1 - 0
HUE
57%
24%
19%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
LUG
3 - 3
ZAR
36%
27%
37%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2016 |
ZAR
3 - 1
UCA
70%
21%
9%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
ZAR
2 - 2
EIB
37%
28%
35%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2016 |
ZAR
1 - 0
CDE
82%
14%
4%
|
77 | 50 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Real Valladolid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
VAD
2 - 1
GIR
35%
28%
37%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
RAY
0 - 0
VAD
68%
19%
13%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
VAD
1 - 0
OVI
53%
26%
22%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
VAD
1 - 1
ALA
45%
27%
28%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2016 |
OVI
1 - 0
VAD
33%
25%
42%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |