Real Zaragoza vs Alcorcón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.6%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
25.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
RAC
0 - 2
ZAR
36%
28%
36%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
ZAR
0 - 0
LUG
61%
24%
16%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
MLL
3 - 2
ZAR
41%
26%
33%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
ZAR
2 - 2
SMR
69%
20%
10%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | -2 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
ALA
4 - 0
ZAR
32%
27%
41%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
ALC
3 - 1
FCB
40%
27%
33%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
OSA
1 - 1
ALC
49%
26%
25%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
ALC
1 - 1
REC
52%
26%
22%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
LEG
1 - 2
ALC
35%
28%
37%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
ALC
0 - 0
UDL
28%
27%
46%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | +1 |