Real Succes vs Milsami Orhei II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.3%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
32.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Succes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
MOL
1 - 2
REA
20%
23%
57%
|
58 | 37 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
REA
4 - 2
MIP
73%
17%
10%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2011 |
INT
4 - 1
REA
45%
27%
28%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
REA
5 - 0
CAH
57%
22%
21%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
FSG
1 - 2
REA
24%
24%
52%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Milsami Orhei II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
ZIM
0 - 3
MIL
25%
27%
48%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
MIL
0 - 0
TIG
71%
18%
11%
|
63 | 44 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2011 |
MIL
2 - 1
FCS
49%
26%
25%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
OLM
0 - 6
MIL
20%
23%
57%
|
62 | 34 | 28 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
MIL
1 - 0
LOC
51%
24%
25%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |