Real Santander vs Unión Magdalena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
37.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Santander
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2014 |
BOG
3 - 4
REA
46%
26%
29%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
REA
0 - 1
JAG
27%
28%
45%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
TFC
1 - 1
REA
35%
27%
38%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
REA
1 - 2
BUC
33%
28%
39%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2014 |
REA
1 - 1
CUC
24%
26%
50%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Unión Magdalena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
UNI
2 - 1
CAR
34%
27%
39%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
RIO
1 - 2
UNI
60%
23%
18%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
UNI
4 - 0
BAR
56%
25%
19%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
UNI
0 - 0
RSC
29%
27%
44%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2014 |
COR
1 - 0
UNI
56%
25%
20%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |