Real Santander vs Bogotá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
38.4%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
0
15º
16º
16º
1
8º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
3 | 10 |
1º
|
37% | |
|
5º
|
3 | 10 |
2º
|
18.5% | |
|
4º
|
3 | 10 |
3º
|
16.5% | |
|
11º
|
1 | 8 |
4º
|
5% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 8 |
5º
|
13% | |
|
8º
|
1 | 8 |
6º
|
6.5% | |
|
1º
|
4 | 7 |
7º
|
9.5% | |
|
2º
|
4 | 7 |
8º
|
10% | |
|
15º
|
0 | 7 |
9º
|
8% | |
|
13º
|
0 | 6 |
10º
|
9.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
1 | 5 |
11º
|
7% | |
|
9º
|
1 | 5 |
12º
|
8.5% | |
|
6º
|
1 | 5 |
13º
|
8.5% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 4 |
14º
|
12% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 4 |
15º
|
14% | |
|
|
16º
|
0 | 4 |
16º
|
20% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
12% | 36% |
|
Mid-table
|
88% | 64% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Santander
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2025 |
TFC
2 - 0
REA
48%
27%
26%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2025 |
LLA
2 - 1
REA
70%
19%
12%
|
61 | 80 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2025 |
REA
1 - 1
PAS
19%
25%
57%
|
61 | 81 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
AFC
3 - 2
REA
35%
24%
41%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2025 |
REA
0 - 2
UNI
17%
22%
61%
|
62 | 81 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Bogotá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2025 |
ORS
1 - 1
BOG
55%
25%
21%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2025 |
BOG
0 - 3
PER
19%
22%
59%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2025 |
EQU
1 - 2
BOG
67%
20%
13%
|
62 | 80 | 18 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2025 |
BOG
0 - 0
LEO
21%
20%
59%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2025 |
FOR
2 - 0
BOG
69%
19%
12%
|
62 | 80 | 18 | 0 |