Real Nogueirense vs Arrifanense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.8%
1-0
5%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.3%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
56.7%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.3%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Nogueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
RNO
4 - 0
CSJ
67%
18%
15%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
SMA
0 - 1
RNO
35%
23%
42%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
RNO
1 - 2
SAN
23%
22%
56%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
MAN
5 - 0
RNO
80%
13%
7%
|
13 | 24 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
RNO
1 - 0
LOB
71%
17%
13%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Arrifanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
MAC
1 - 0
ARR
36%
23%
41%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
ARR
3 - 2
ALV
48%
23%
29%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
CSJ
0 - 4
ARR
10%
17%
74%
|
21 | 8 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
ARR
3 - 0
SMA
83%
12%
6%
|
21 | 11 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 3
ARR
46%
23%
31%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | +1 |