Real Murcia U19 B vs Cartagena FC U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.1%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.6%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
16%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16%
12.9%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
-42%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
6º
16º
8º
35
4º
15º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 75 |
1º
|
86% | |
|
2º
|
70 | 73 |
2º
|
86% | |
|
3º
|
65 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
64 | 65 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
63 | 64 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
64 | 64 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
52 | 52 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
45 | 46 |
9º
|
86% | |
|
9º
|
45 | 45 |
10º
|
86% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
39 | 39 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
35 | 38 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
38 | 38 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
37 | 37 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
32 | 32 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
21 | 22 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
11 | 11 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia U19 B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
FUT
0 - 3
REA
64%
18%
18%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
MMC
2 - 0
REA
56%
20%
24%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
REA
1 - 0
BEN
54%
23%
23%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
ARC
3 - 1
REA
14%
18%
68%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | -2 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
REA
0 - 1
ACA
68%
17%
15%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Cartagena FC U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
CFC
1 - 1
MMC
18%
20%
63%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
BEN
3 - 2
CFC
52%
21%
27%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
CFC
1 - 1
ARC
46%
22%
32%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
ACA
0 - 1
CFC
70%
17%
14%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
CFC
2 - 1
CIE
27%
22%
51%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | +2 |