SS Real Montecchio vs Civitanovese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.1%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
56.8%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SS Real Montecchio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
ATL
1 - 1
SRM
69%
19%
12%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
CHI
1 - 1
SRM
65%
22%
13%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
EPD
1 - 1
SRM
46%
25%
29%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
SRM
0 - 0
ASB
39%
25%
35%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
MDC
4 - 3
SRM
57%
23%
20%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Civitanovese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
CIV
1 - 0
CSL
43%
25%
33%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
CIV
1 - 0
SDC
64%
20%
15%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
CIV
1 - 0
ATL
49%
25%
26%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
CAM
0 - 1
CIV
57%
22%
21%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
CIV
2 - 1
MIG
77%
15%
8%
|
34 | 17 | 17 | 0 |