Progreditur Marcianise vs Aprilia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.8%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.6%
9.5%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progreditur Marcianise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
ACI
1 - 0
REA
22%
24%
54%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
REA
0 - 0
TUR
49%
24%
27%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2015 |
SSM
1 - 0
REA
24%
24%
52%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
FRA
3 - 2
REA
32%
25%
43%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
REA
3 - 1
TOR
61%
22%
18%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Aprilia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
APR
1 - 2
NAR
25%
26%
49%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
RPO
2 - 1
APR
74%
15%
11%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
SSE
5 - 1
APR
66%
18%
16%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
APR
1 - 1
GAL
22%
22%
55%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
ACI
1 - 0
APR
49%
25%
26%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |