Real Madrid C vs Real Aranjuez CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.8%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.2%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.9%
4-0
9.4%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.6%
3-0
13.1%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.9%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
10.8%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10.8%
4.4%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid C
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
ATM
1 - 1
RMC
42%
25%
33%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
RMC
1 - 1
TOR
89%
8%
3%
|
33 | 15 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
CIE
1 - 0
RMC
23%
24%
53%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
RMC
2 - 0
COS
75%
16%
10%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
ADP
1 - 0
RMC
39%
25%
36%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Real Aranjuez CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
ARA
0 - 1
STA
27%
24%
49%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
ARA
1 - 3
NAV
19%
24%
57%
|
21 | 40 | 19 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
ATM
2 - 1
ARA
73%
17%
9%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
ARA
5 - 1
TOR
87%
9%
4%
|
21 | 11 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
CIE
4 - 2
ARA
57%
23%
20%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |