Real Madrid C vs Rayo Vallecano B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.2%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
29%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid C
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
RMC
4 - 0
TRJ
50%
24%
26%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
PEG
2 - 1
RMC
37%
26%
37%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2004 |
RMC
1 - 1
ORC
65%
20%
16%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
SFN
2 - 1
RMC
30%
26%
45%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
RMC
0 - 1
MST
52%
24%
25%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Rayo Vallecano B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
STA
1 - 2
RVB
31%
26%
44%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
RVB
1 - 2
ARA
65%
21%
15%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2004 |
ATM
1 - 3
RVB
46%
25%
29%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
RVB
1 - 1
TOR
79%
14%
7%
|
34 | 19 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
CIE
0 - 1
RVB
36%
26%
39%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | +1 |