Real Madrid C vs Tornado analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
88.9%
Win probability
3.32
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.3%
6-0
3.9%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5%
5-0
7.1%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.5%
4-0
10.7%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
<0%
+4
15.1%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.8%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
7%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.5%
8%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
7.9%
3.1%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.5%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid C
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
CIE
1 - 0
RMC
23%
24%
53%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
RMC
2 - 0
COS
75%
16%
10%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
ADP
1 - 0
RMC
39%
25%
36%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2003 |
RMC
3 - 1
CAR
85%
10%
4%
|
34 | 19 | 15 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
LEG
3 - 2
RMC
41%
25%
35%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Tornado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
TOR
3 - 1
STA
11%
18%
71%
|
11 | 30 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
ARA
5 - 1
TOR
87%
9%
4%
|
11 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
TOR
1 - 3
ATM
12%
20%
68%
|
12 | 33 | 21 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2003 |
TOR
0 - 2
NAV
12%
20%
68%
|
12 | 39 | 27 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
CIE
3 - 1
TOR
81%
13%
6%
|
13 | 22 | 9 | -1 |