Real Cinisello vs Muggio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
7.9%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.6%
1-0
3%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.2%
76.8%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
13.6%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.3%
0-3
11%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.1%
0-4
6.7%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
9.1%
0-5
3.3%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.2%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Cinisello
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
CEN
5 - 0
REA
84%
11%
5%
|
7 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
REA
0 - 1
CON
8%
15%
78%
|
7 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
POL
5 - 0
REA
79%
13%
7%
|
8 | 16 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
REA
1 - 2
POL
11%
18%
71%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
PAD
6 - 0
REA
87%
9%
4%
|
9 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Muggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
MUG
2 - 2
SPE
46%
23%
31%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
CIN
1 - 1
MUG
44%
23%
33%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
MUG
2 - 1
CRE
84%
11%
5%
|
37 | 13 | 24 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
CIT
2 - 2
MUG
24%
22%
54%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
MUG
2 - 1
CAR
67%
18%
15%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | +1 |