Real Cartagena vs Millonarios analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
42.9%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2012 |
CHI
3 - 0
CAR
62%
23%
15%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
CAR
3 - 1
AGU
33%
27%
40%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2012 |
CAL
2 - 0
CAR
68%
20%
11%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
JUN
1 - 0
CAR
75%
16%
9%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 2
ONC
25%
25%
50%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2012 |
MIL
2 - 1
ONC
40%
26%
34%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
NAC
0 - 0
MIL
54%
24%
22%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
MIL
2 - 0
EQU
54%
25%
21%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
HUI
0 - 4
MIL
39%
27%
34%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2012 |
MIL
2 - 0
SFE
42%
27%
32%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | +1 |