Real Cartagena vs Deportes Tolima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
49.1%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
MIL
1 - 1
CAR
70%
19%
11%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
CAR
0 - 0
CHI
39%
26%
35%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2012 |
CAR
0 - 2
UNI
60%
20%
21%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
AGU
3 - 1
CAR
62%
23%
15%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2012 |
UNI
0 - 0
CAR
26%
25%
49%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
TOL
1 - 0
ONC
42%
26%
31%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
NAC
0 - 1
TOL
48%
25%
27%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
TOL
2 - 0
PER
70%
19%
11%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
TOL
1 - 1
EQU
59%
25%
17%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2012 |
ONC
0 - 0
TOL
52%
24%
24%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |