Real Cartagena vs Cúcuta Deportivo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
27.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2012 |
TOL
3 - 0
CAR
68%
21%
12%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2012 |
CAR
0 - 2
MIL
31%
26%
43%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2012 |
CHI
3 - 0
CAR
62%
23%
15%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
CAR
3 - 1
AGU
33%
27%
40%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2012 |
CAL
2 - 0
CAR
68%
20%
11%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Cúcuta Deportivo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2012 |
CHI
3 - 1
CUC
61%
22%
17%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2012 |
CUC
3 - 1
CHI
30%
25%
45%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | +2 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
CUC
4 - 1
ONC
20%
25%
56%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2012 |
NAC
1 - 1
CUC
71%
19%
10%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
CUC
1 - 3
EQU
34%
30%
36%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | -1 |