Real Bolívar FC vs Lara FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.8%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
17.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Bolívar FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
POR
4 - 2
BOL
52%
25%
23%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
LLA
4 - 3
BOL
53%
23%
25%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
BOL
2 - 1
URE
50%
24%
25%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
CDS
1 - 2
BOL
27%
24%
49%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2011 |
BOL
0 - 1
LOT
53%
23%
23%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Lara FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
LAR
0 - 1
LOT
35%
25%
40%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
LAR
1 - 3
UAS
49%
24%
27%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
ZAM
4 - 0
LAR
50%
24%
26%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -2 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
LAR
0 - 0
POR
31%
25%
44%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
LAR
1 - 1
URE
45%
25%
30%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |