Tercera - Postupové Play Off Quarter-finals
Global 5-3
Real Ávila vs CD Tuilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.7%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
19.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Ávila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2012 |
TUI
2 - 1
AVI
39%
24%
37%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
CDH
2 - 3
AVI
15%
22%
63%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
AVI
3 - 2
NUM
67%
20%
14%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2012 |
PON
0 - 2
AVI
9%
18%
73%
|
36 | 15 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2012 |
SAL
1 - 4
AVI
21%
24%
56%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
CD Tuilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2012 |
TUI
2 - 1
AVI
39%
24%
37%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
TUI
2 - 4
68%
18%
14%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
PCF
0 - 0
TUI
19%
23%
58%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2012 |
CAN
0 - 0
TUI
37%
27%
36%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
TUI
0 - 2
AVI
45%
25%
31%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | -2 |