Tercera - Postupové Play Off Semi-finals
Global 0-2
Real Ávila vs Mancha Real analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.7%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
19.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Ávila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2010 |
ESC
1 - 2
AVI
51%
24%
25%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
AVI
1 - 1
ESC
64%
20%
16%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
VAL
1 - 1
AVI
70%
18%
12%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
AVI
1 - 1
LER
74%
17%
9%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
AVI
3 - 0
SDA
72%
18%
10%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Mancha Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2010 |
CDB
1 - 0
MAN
57%
23%
20%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2010 |
MAN
2 - 1
CDB
28%
25%
47%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | +2 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
MAN
2 - 0
PAL
51%
24%
25%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
MOT
0 - 0
MAN
51%
24%
25%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
MAN
3 - 0
VEL
58%
23%
19%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |