Real Aranjuez CF vs Real Madrid C analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.7%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
57.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Aranjuez CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2000 |
MST
3 - 1
ARA
75%
17%
8%
|
24 | 42 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2000 |
ARA
1 - 1
RVB
29%
27%
44%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2000 |
GET
1 - 0
ARA
54%
26%
21%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2000 |
ARA
2 - 2
ATC
57%
22%
21%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2000 |
ADP
3 - 0
ARA
45%
27%
27%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Real Madrid C
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2000 |
RMC
4 - 3
ALC
56%
22%
22%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2000 |
NAV
1 - 0
RMC
23%
25%
52%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | -2 |
| 24 Sep. 2000 |
RMC
2 - 2
COL
83%
12%
6%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2000 |
SNF
3 - 0
RMC
9%
20%
72%
|
42 | 16 | 26 | -2 |
| 10 Sep. 2000 |
RMC
2 - 1
SFN
84%
11%
5%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | 0 |