Real Aranjuez CF vs Móstoles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.5%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.9%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.8%
56.7%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Aranjuez CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2003 |
PNT
2 - 1
ARA
77%
16%
7%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
ARA
2 - 1
PBO
36%
27%
38%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
RMC
4 - 0
ARA
85%
11%
4%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
ARA
0 - 1
STA
27%
24%
49%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
ARA
1 - 3
NAV
19%
24%
57%
|
21 | 40 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Móstoles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2003 |
MST
3 - 2
ATM
63%
21%
16%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
TOR
0 - 1
MST
16%
22%
62%
|
38 | 17 | 21 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
MST
1 - 2
CIE
72%
18%
10%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
COS
0 - 2
MST
27%
27%
47%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
MST
2 - 0
ADP
59%
22%
19%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |