Real Aranjuez CF vs Tornado analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.8%
Win probability
3.09
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4%
5-0
6.2%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.2%
4-0
10%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.9%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.4%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
9.3%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
9.3%
3.8%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Aranjuez CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
CIE
4 - 2
ARA
57%
23%
20%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2003 |
ARA
4 - 0
COS
24%
25%
51%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | +3 |
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
ADP
1 - 3
ARA
81%
14%
6%
|
17 | 29 | 12 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2003 |
ARA
7 - 0
CAR
27%
25%
48%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | +3 |
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
LEG
3 - 1
ARA
86%
11%
4%
|
15 | 33 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Tornado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
TOR
1 - 3
ATM
12%
20%
68%
|
12 | 33 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2003 |
TOR
0 - 2
NAV
12%
20%
68%
|
12 | 39 | 27 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
CIE
3 - 1
TOR
81%
13%
6%
|
13 | 22 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2003 |
TOR
2 - 2
COS
13%
21%
66%
|
11 | 29 | 18 | +2 |
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
ADP
2 - 0
TOR
86%
10%
4%
|
12 | 29 | 17 | -1 |